Scaffolding Contractors’ Bankruptcies Top 100 for First Time in 16 Years, on Pace for Record High

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The story

In the world of “tobi” scaffolders — the tradespeople who erect and dismantle scaffolding at construction sites — bankruptcies are on pace to hit a record high. According to Tokyo Shoko Research, bankruptcies among scaffolding contractors are set to top 100 in a single year for the first time in 16 years, and the trend shows no sign of slowing despite a severe labor shortage reflected in a job-openings-to-applicants ratio of 7.94. Beyond the difficulty of hiring, the nature of a skilled trade that takes years to master is proving to be a barrier to training the next generation. On 5channel, users debated whether wages match the harshness of the work, along with women’s participation in the trade, reliance on foreign workers, and generational differences in values.

Published 9/23 (Wed) 7:04 AM

Tokyo Shoko Research

Headwinds are blowing through the world of tobi scaffolders, often called the “stars of the construction site.” Indispensable for everything from scaffolding to steel framing and support-post work, the trade is now seeing bankruptcies at a record pace. In an industry already gripped by a severe labor shortage — with a job-openings-to-applicants ratio of 7.94 — the difficulty of hiring, combined with the high skill and experience required, is holding back the training of young workers. Tokyo Shoko Research (TSR) analyzed bankruptcies in the scaffolding contracting business.

Source: news.yahoo.co.jp / Original article here

What people said

2AnonymousSep 23, 2026 12:57
30% of Japanese salarymen work at big corporations.
The remaining 70% work at small and mid-sized firms.
↑ So the gap is 2x?
41AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:09
Re: #2
You keep posting that same copypasta, but if you're going to talk about the "gap," you need to use total employed persons as the denominator, not just regular employees.
There are all kinds of ways people work out there — big-company employees aren't as common as you think.
9AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:02
– Ban tattoos and body art
– Don't hire people with criminal records
You've got to do at least these two things or it's a no-go.
16AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:04
Re: #9
I think those two groups make up most of the workforce. That said, if your tattoos are visible, you'll probably get shut out of major contractors' sites.
10AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:02
Working odd-job part-time gigs on a tobi crew was heaven. From 8 to past 3, it was picking up and sorting trash, organizing wires and ropes, and running out to buy drinks and snacks. Whenever I tried to actually do something, I'd get told to keep my hands off it — more like "just hang around here" vibes. And for that, 12,000 yen a day.
134AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:32
Re: #10
Back in the Ice Age job market, "there's always someone else to replace you" was the assumption across every industry, so there was none of this safety-conscious "just stand by and don't touch anything" treatment.
13AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:03
Wasn't there a period where women entering trades like tobi and construction laborer work ("dokaman") was being hyped up?
25AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:06
Re: #13
Not a lot, but I think it's become fairly normal. Probably about the same ratio as male nurses.
33AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:08
Re: #13
Just the other day I saw a female painter on a job site.
14AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:03
Just pay wages that match the work. End of story.
20AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:05
Re: #14
I think that's tough. With tobi work, the result doesn't really change depending on who does it. But a plasterer who can do decorative finishing work adds value, so there's room for higher pay there.
166AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:47
Re: #14
Stick with it for 10 years and you'll out-earn a salaryman — though 90% quit before that.
24AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:06
Why is it that rough-looking guys end up becoming tobi workers?
35AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:08
Re: #24
Isn't it the other way around? Tobi work is about the only job that'll take rough-looking guys.
27AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:07
It's just zombie companies that can't pay proper wages getting weeded out. There's no problem at all, since demand for tobi work itself is there. If you want to hire, just pay enough.
46AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:10
Re: #27
The reason proper wages can't be paid is that Japanese consumers aren't paying proper prices.
Make housing start at a minimum of 100 million yen — something ordinary people can't afford — and then you'll be able to pay proper wages.
30AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:07
I'm a working tobi guy myself, and my daily rate went up from 17,000 to 24,000 yen — stoked lol.
My annual income's around 9.5 million yen.
67AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:13
Re: #30
And do you get days off on rainy days like today too? Don't know where you live, but that sounds like a solid, non-exploitative ("white") company.
37AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:08
Banning tattoos, lol.
Tattoos are exactly what you need to piece the body back together if you fall and get torn apart.
196AnonymousSep 23, 2026 14:01
Re: #37
Is that a serious point or a joke? Which is it?
Now I'm picturing jigsaw puzzle pieces.
50AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:10
If delinquent kids ("yankii") aren't becoming tobi workers anymore, what are they doing instead?
58AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:11
Re: #50
Working as a "kakeko" (the caller who phones victims) in a scam operation out in Southeast Asia.
63AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:12
Re: #50
Semi-gangster "dark part-time jobs" (shady, often criminal gig work recruited via social media).
64AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:12
Re: #50
You and I are both around-50 old geezers, so we can get nostalgic about the yankii era, but there aren't really delinquent kids like that anymore lol. My own kid, early 20s, grew up without a single millimeter of delinquency in him lol. The harshest I've ever lectured him was when he was laughing his head off watching TikTok or whatever at dinner, and the one time I scolded him was when he dropped his iPhone.
51AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:10
I've done construction labor ("dokata") myself, but tobi-style physical work in construction — no way, or rather, I couldn't hack it. Even 20-plus years ago there were plenty of dokata sites that weren't that brutal or dirty. The gear is different too — tobi guys wear their own thing. If I were young, I'd think you're better off learning to operate a backhoe than doing tobi work. With how computerized things have gotten, you can now earn money on sites totally different from what old-school backhoe operators used to work, and the same goes for grader operators.
77AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:15
Re: #51
Whatever you call it, dokata work has gotten more mechanized, so it's a bit easier than other manual trades in some ways. Though even digging holes, some sites still make you hand-dig, and that's brutal.
98AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:20
I occasionally see guys commuting on the train still wearing their nikkabokka (the baggy work pants tobi workers wear). Please don't sit down on the seats in dirty work clothes. I get that you're tired, but if you want to sit, change into clean clothes first. Doesn't anyone come pick you up by car?
103AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:21
Re: #98
Maybe just lay down a handkerchief for them.
102AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:21
It's a "women's empowerment society," so just have women do tobi work, no?
107AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:23
Re: #102
Making women carry heavy loads violates Japan's Labor Standards Act.
105AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:22
Gen Z is pickier than the Employment Ice Age generation ever was 😫
What's going to happen to Japan's infrastructure down the road?
110AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:24
A shortage of tobi workers means fewer people to handle the very first and very last steps of construction, including for apartment buildings — putting up and taking down scaffolding. In other words, even if you leave the countryside and graduate from a MARCH-level university or better (a group of solid mid-tier Tokyo private universities), you still won't be able to properly own a condo in Tokyo's 23 wards. Construction costs are so high that moving to Tokyo, graduating from a decent university, and landing a solid company job still isn't enough to buy a home in the city — that's rough. Meanwhile, plenty of manual laborers are out there working for proper wages. And these days, even job sites end up strict about compliance once the project's big enough to be an apartment building.
124AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:28
Re: #105
Most of the public buildings the old guard built like crazy by issuing endless government bonds are unnecessary anyway — they'll just have to be returned to nature.

Re: #110
I seriously wonder what's going to happen to all those tower condos that got built like crazy. Repairs on detached houses can be sorted out if a handful of owners agree, but with a tower condo, you could easily end up waiting five years.
168AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:48
"There's always someone else to replace you" — I wonder if any companies still say that.
174AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:50
Re: #168
Well, that hasn't changed since forever and won't going forward either.

Background and Key Points of This Discussion

It’s worth noting that the rise in scaffolding-contractor bankruptcies doesn’t mean demand in the industry itself has dried up. As the 7.94 job-openings-to-applicants ratio shows, work is actually in surplus — this looks more like small and mid-sized firms being weeded out because they can’t secure workers, or can’t pass rising material and labor costs on through their contract prices. On the thread, the view that “raise wages and people will come” clashed with the view that “there’s no money to raise wages unless the construction costs clients are willing to pay go up first” — neither side fully engaged with the other, since each was only looking at one side of the supply-and-demand equation. Because the trade takes years to master, it also doesn’t mesh well with a short-term-hiring mindset that wants workers who are productive from day one, which deepens the “skilled-worker shortage” even further. Opinions were also split on accepting foreign workers, with some seeing it as one way to manage costs and others arguing it doesn’t solve the underlying problem.

*This article was compiled from excerpts and a summary of the 5channel (Newsplus) thread “[Young People Turning Away from Tobi Work] Scaffolding Contractors Struggling, Bankruptcies on Pace for Record High — Over 100 for First Time in 16 Years, Worker Shortage and Cost Pressures the Sticking Points.”

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