Switch 2 Sales Show Signs of Recovery — 5ch: ‘At This Rate It’ll Overtake PS5 Next Year, Right?’

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The story

A thread on 5ch’s Console/Industry (“Geha”) board sparked debate over Switch2 and PS5 sales figures. The thread’s creator posted monthly sales numbers — 448,500 units in March, 241,600 in April, and 634,800 in May — and pointed out that momentum had slowed following May’s price hike. In response, replies pushed back, noting that Switch2 has kept beating the PS5 in the most recent weekly rankings, and that September sales have actually picked up as the post-Obon slump reversed, making it too early to call this a “slowdown” based on monthly data alone. The thread turned into a back-and-forth comparison war citing VGChartz estimates alongside Sony and Nintendo’s official quarterly earnings figures, with opinions split over how momentum will hold up heading into the year-end shopping season and next year’s lineup of major titles.

What people said

1AnonymousSep 23, 2026 21:16
March: 448,500 units (#3/5 Pokoa released)
April: 241,600 units
May: 634,800 units (#price hike of ¥10,000 on 5/25)
4AnonymousSep 23, 2026 21:18
No problem here — it's beaten the PS5 in weekly sales every single week lol
9AnonymousSep 23, 2026 21:22
Re: #4
Isn't that a problem though, since it's losing to PS5 globally?

Global sales comparison for July 2026
by VGChartz

Platform…US/Canada…EU…Japan…Worldwide
PS5….188.3k…..301.5k…..40.4k…..784.1k
NS2….249.1k….192.9k…138.1k…..707.2k

Global sales comparison for the 1st week of August 2026
by VGChartz

Platform…US/Canada…EU…Japan…Worldwide
PS5……48.3k……75.6k…10.1k……204.1k
NS2……61.9k……47.3k…31.7k……172.0k
12AnonymousSep 23, 2026 21:24
At this rate it'll pass PS5 next year, right?
And that's comparing its 7th year to PS5's 2nd year.
14AnonymousSep 23, 2026 21:25
Re: #12
The PS5 launched in Nov 2026, so this is actually its 6th year.
15AnonymousSep 23, 2026 21:26
Re: #12
Correction — launched in Nov 2020, so this is its 6th year.
16AnonymousSep 23, 2026 21:27
Re: #12
It's only about 1.5 million units behind, so it won't take long — especially with Christmas sales coming.
20AnonymousSep 23, 2026 21:33
Couldn't sell a single unit in 3 years, and it's only now finally on pace to get overtaken by the PS5
22AnonymousSep 23, 2026 21:34
Re: #19
The PS5's already got it beat…

Global sales comparison for July 2026
by VGChartz

Platform…US/Canada…EU…Japan…Worldwide
PS5….188.3k…..301.5k…..40.4k…..784.1k
NS2….249.1k….192.9k…138.1k…..707.2k

Global sales comparison for the 1st week of August 2026
by VGChartz

Platform…US/Canada…EU…Japan…Worldwide
PS5……48.3k……75.6k…10.1k……204.1k
NS2……61.9k……47.3k…31.7k……172.0k
23AnonymousSep 23, 2026 21:35
Re: #22
Switch2's winning worldwide too, you know?
30AnonymousSep 23, 2026 21:38
Re: #23
The first few years after the PS5 launched in 2020 aren't a fair comparison — there were COVID lockdowns, supply chains were a mess, and masks were in short supply, so there wasn't even proper stock available to sell~
27AnonymousSep 23, 2026 21:35
We're heading into the year-end shopping season, so it's still wait-and-see for now (´・ω・`)
Also, since everyone knows the price hike is the cause, they could fix this easily if they wanted to.
Basically, if they bundle a game or something to bring the effective price down, it'll start selling again.

The reason Nintendo isn't rushing to do that comes down to one thing: "But we're still outselling the PS5, right?"
In the first place, the moment they raised the price to ¥60,000 when the PS5 is only ¥55,000, that was them saying "There's no real rival, so we can take our time" — in other words, [they're not taking the competition seriously].
34AnonymousSep 23, 2026 21:40
Re: #27
There's a theory that all of Switch1's active users have already finished migrating over to Switch2 —
what do you think of that?
37AnonymousSep 23, 2026 21:41
Since Sony hasn't announced a sales target for the PS5 this year, VGChartz's "fortune-telling" estimates keep missing the mark.
I'm not foolish enough to gloat using VGChartz numbers that can be off by 40%.
46AnonymousSep 23, 2026 21:45
Re: #37
Their target is "we're not chasing unit sales" lol
41AnonymousSep 23, 2026 21:43
Re: #22
With proper sources, it's an absolute blowout…

Global sales comparison for Jan–Mar 2026
by official Sony/Nintendo figures

NS2: 2.49 million units
PS5: 1.50 million units

Global sales comparison for Apr–Jun 2026
by official Sony/Nintendo figures

NS2: 3.82 million units
PS5: 1.60 million units
47AnonymousSep 23, 2026 21:45
Re: #41
That's probably just from the good sales before the price hike plus the last-minute rush-buying right before it.
45AnonymousSep 23, 2026 21:44
With third parties abandoning ship, the PS5 and PS6 aren't even competition anymore —
it's just going to be Switch2 selling well indefinitely.
51AnonymousSep 23, 2026 21:47
Re: #45
Sure, sure, here you go —

PS5 titles swept the top 5 best-selling console games in France for 2025

Details:
https://imgur.com/a/bGrP0sL
1st: EA Sports FC26 (PS5) — 960,000 units
2nd: EA Sports FC25 (PS5) — 360,000 units
3rd: BF6 (PS5) — 310,000 units
4th: Assassin's Creed Shadows (PS5) — 310,000 units
5th: CoD: BO7 (PS5) — 280,000 units

Source: S.E.L.L
https://www.sell.fr/sites/default/files/essentiel-jeu-video/ejv_avril_2026_def-en.pdf
60AnonymousSep 23, 2026 21:51
Re: #51
Lol, not a single one of those even hit a million units.
Is this self-own?
120AnonymousSep 23, 2026 22:12
Re: #51
And during the year-end/New Year shopping season, Switch games end up outselling almost all of those anyway.
Meanwhile, the only PlayStation title on that list that sells during the year-end rush is CoD, and only because it's on a fire sale.
49AnonymousSep 23, 2026 21:46
Re: #45
Being dependent on third parties makes it even tougher.
Aside from Bandai Namco and Konami — companies with old loyalty ties to PlayStation — pretty much everyone else has fled to Switch2.
That's an awfully rough hand to fight with.
59AnonymousSep 23, 2026 21:51
Re: #49
Yeah yeah, go take a look at Re: #51
50AnonymousSep 23, 2026 21:46
Re: #47
Right, right lol
Mr. PS5 sold a whopping 3.1 million units in 6 months, after all lol
53AnonymousSep 23, 2026 21:49
Re: #50
At this rate, the estimate is that roughly half of Switch1's user base is just going to vanish somewhere.
58AnonymousSep 23, 2026 21:50
Re: #53
The PS5's such trash it only sold 3.1 million units in 6 months, huh?
70AnonymousSep 23, 2026 21:55
Re: #53
Sales pace picks up once popular titles come out, so there's no problem there.
77AnonymousSep 23, 2026 21:58
It's third parties, more than Nintendo, that seem to be having a genuinely rough time.
Even when they port games originally made for PC/PS5/Xbox over to Switch2, they don't sell all that well.
It doesn't have that "anything you release will sell" vibe that Switch1 had.
89AnonymousSep 23, 2026 22:01
Re: #77
That's because they completely ignored the Switch [1] the whole time.
If they think they can just drop something out of nowhere and have it sell without ever building a loyal customer base, that kind of thinking is worse than even Falcom's or Nippon Ichi's.
83AnonymousSep 23, 2026 22:00
Getting excited about beating PlayStation at the current weekly sales level is basically the same as
PlayStation getting excited about beating Xbox.
95AnonymousSep 23, 2026 22:02
Re: #83
Want to declare the war over? Be my guest.
99AnonymousSep 23, 2026 22:04
Re: #83
If it were a narrow win that'd be one thing, but Switch2 is beating the PS5 by a pretty wide margin —
in both hardware and software.
96AnonymousSep 23, 2026 22:03
Re: #77
I think there's a good chance Nintendo is currently offering some kind of compensation to get third parties
to port their flagship titles over, just to build momentum.
98AnonymousSep 23, 2026 22:04
Re: #96
And the result is this landslide margin —
101AnonymousSep 23, 2026 22:04
I mean, just last month people were saying it'd drop below 20,000 by September, and now sales have actually gone up and it's approaching 30,000 — that's kind of funny.
104AnonymousSep 23, 2026 22:06
Re: #101
That was just the post-Obon rebound, that's all.
What's actually surprising is the PS5 — even after the GTA6 trailer dropped, it still can't recover from its 4-digit slump and is still flatlining.
109AnonymousSep 23, 2026 22:07
Re: #101
The reason OP deliberately used monthly figures instead of weekly ones in Re: #1 is probably because Switch2's sales have been climbing the last few weeks, and that doesn't suit their narrative lol (´・ω・`)
124AnonymousSep 23, 2026 22:14
It really comes down to how the year-end shopping season goes.
Even if it's Ocarina of Time, if they're just glossing things over with a remake, isn't that going to flop hard?
130AnonymousSep 23, 2026 22:16
Re: #124
Well, there's no real rival anyway, and it's obvious the real action starts next year once the new Kirby game, Pokémon, and Xenoblade come out.
133AnonymousSep 23, 2026 22:17
Re: #124
That said, it looks like they're putting quite a bit of effort into it, so I don't think they're just glossing things over.

Background and key points of this discussion

VGChartz, the source cited in the thread, is an unofficial estimate site, and its numbers can diverge from actual sales — worth keeping in mind. On the other hand, posts #41 and #51 cite figures based on Sony’s and Nintendo’s official earnings reports, so the nature of the numbers varies depending on the source. The debate essentially boils down to two points: (1) whether sales trends should be judged by monthly or weekly figures, and (2) whether the post-price-hike slowdown is just a temporary rebound from rush-buying, or a genuine, sustained decline. Some posters in the thread pointed out that sales have actually been trending upward since September, suggesting it’s hard to declare a firm trend from a single month’s numbers alone. The discussion also touches on how the year-end shopping season and next year’s lineup of major titles — the new Kirby game, Pokémon, and Xenoblade — are likely to shape sales momentum going forward.

※This article is excerpted and summarized from the 5ch (Console/Industry “Geha”) thread “[Nintendo’s Last Stronghold in Trouble] Switch2 Sales in Japan Are on a Relentless Downward Slide.”

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