Mao Akiyama’s Graduation Concert at Budokan Hidden Behind Blackout Curtains — 5ch: ‘Less Blackout Than Today’s Show’

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The story

Mao Akiyama of Tsubaki Factory held her graduation concert at Nippon Budokan, but blackout curtains were hung across the back and upper sections of the audience seating, sparking discussion on 5ch’s Hello! Project board that it might be a move to hide empty seats. In the thread, posters lined up photos from Kiku Niinuma’s graduation concert at the same venue, with a string of replies speculating about turnout based on the amount of blackout curtain and how the house lights and penlights appeared. Meanwhile, past concerts by other groups like Angerme and Juice=Juice were also brought up for comparison, and opinions were divided on what standard should be used to measure attendance.

What people said

10AnonymousOct 26, 2026 17:58
Isn't this emptier than any graduation concert anyone's ever done at Budokan??
13AnonymousOct 26, 2026 17:58
Re: #10
If ℃-ute ever pulled something like this, it'd be the legendary 'ping-pong table Budokan' (referencing a notorious past show so empty they reportedly set up a ping-pong table in the empty seats).
34AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:05
Re: #10
Still beats Angerme's spring show in attendance.
18AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:00
On-site report: Tsubaki Factory, Mao Akiyama graduation, Nippon Budokan, Hello! Project
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=moSrD1I-mRE
https://i.ytimg.com/vi/moSrD1I-mRE/hqdefault.jpg
20AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:01
Niinuma's graduation concert: 6,800 (5,800)
https://imgur.com/URiFEfu.jpeg
24AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:02
Re: #20
Less blackout curtain than today's show.
33AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:04
Re: #20
Turnout's worse than this one.
35AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:05
Re: #20
They're trying to make it look full, but the sparse penlights give it away.
38AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:05
Budokan's a forgiving venue — even with fewer people than capacity, it can visually fake a full house.
40AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:06
Going by individual popularity at the time, I don't think Niinuma was all that different from 'Mao-pin' (Akiyama's nickname).
50AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:08
Re: #40
And that's with the 'all the original members reunited' lethal weapon factored in.
54AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:09
Re: #40
Niinuma wasn't popular back then, but she wasn't dead last either — Mao-pin is literally the least popular member in Tsubaki right now, though…
43AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:06
Niinuma wins.
https://imgur.com/URiFEfu.jpeg
47AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:07
Re: #41
Does that have anything to do with Budokan?
55AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:09
Re: #51
This is about the shape of the Budokan venue itself — what's that got to do with penlights?
48AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:07
Niinuma's retirement meant an eternal farewell,
which is why it was the last time all the original members gathered.

She's just barely falling short of Niinuma, who had such favorable conditions going for her — she's doing fine.
67AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:11
Re: #48
If the original-member reunion was announced in advance, that does give Niinuma the edge — Akiyama got no such announcement at all.
49AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:07
https://i.imgur.com/TzUhCLd_d.webp?maxwidth=760
52AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:08
https://i.imgur.com/i2Ae1Vk_d.webp?maxwidth=760
81AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:13
Re: #52
Still beats Angerme though.
60AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:09
Juice=Juice is the worst offender — Budokan was so empty (an estimated 3,000?) that they've withheld attendance numbers three times now.
75AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:12
Re: #60
If Angerme withholds attendance one more time, they'll catch up to Juice lol
Tsubaki has never once failed to announce theirs.
68AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:11
Re: #54
The hall-event capacities aren't that different, but for solo events Murata's less popular.
74AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:12
Re: #68
Solo events have nothing to do with this.
72AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:11
The stage set looks so cheap.
79AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:12
Re: #72
Well, it's a band-live show, so the budget's going into that instead.
82AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:13
'Better attendance than Angerme's spring show' — but this is supposed to be a graduation concert!
95AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:15
Re: #82
It's Akiyama's graduation concert, so it's basically equivalent to a non-graduation show.
85AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:13
The Angerme haters are bombing here.
99AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:16
Man, her singing's rough though.
100AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:16
The Juice=Juice fans have weirdly made this their enemy.
104AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:16
Re: #100
They're not even on our radar.
114AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:18
Re: #97
And the official 'HQ announcement' (sarcastic term for inflated official figures) for this one was 8,000 people, right?
127AnonymousOct 26, 2026 18:20
Re: #114
So nobody'd bat an eye if today's Tsubaki show claimed something like 9,000, then.

Background and Points of Debate

Nippon Budokan has long served as a benchmark venue for gauging the drawing power of Hello! Project idols, and since attendance figures often go officially unannounced, fans are left to estimate turnout from how the seats look. Hiding the back and upper sections behind blackout curtains to mask empty seats is a tactic that’s been called out repeatedly in the past, and this time the amount of curtain used became the main point of comparison. Kiku Niinuma, whose photos were brought up in the thread, is a former Tsubaki Factory member who already graduated, and her show was a special one where all the original members reunited — a very different set of conditions from Akiyama’s graduation concert this time. It’s hard to judge attendance definitively from a single photo, since the way things look can shift depending on seat position and lighting angle, so opinions in the thread split between ‘Budokan lets you fake it’ and ‘no, you can tell from the house lights and penlights.’

*This article is compiled as an excerpt and summary of the 5ch (Hello! Project board) thread “[Sad News] Tsubaki Factory’s Mao Akiyama Graduation Concert at Nippon Budokan Turns Into a Blackout-Curtain Festival wwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwww.”

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