Food Tax Cut Won’t Spur Economic Growth, Say 54.5% of Firms: Teikoku Databank Survey

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The story

The government rolled out a 1-point cut to the consumption tax on groceries as a countermeasure against rising prices, but a Teikoku Databank survey of roughly 10,000 companies found that 54.5% said the cut “will not lead to economic revitalization.” Only 18% said it “will lead to revitalization.” Reacting to these results, 5channel’s Business News+ board saw comments arguing the tax cut was never meant to stimulate the economy in the first place but to fight rising prices, worries about the cost of upgrading cash registers and the added burden on restaurants, calls to fund the shortfall by taxing big corporations and the wealthy, and demands that the weak yen be tackled alongside the tax cut.

September 22, 2026, 9:30 PM

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On the government’s decision to cut the consumption tax rate on groceries for a limited two-year period, half of companies say it “will not lead to” economic revitalization.

Source: news.tv-asahi.co.jp / Original article here

What people said

2AnonymousSep 23, 2026 10:31
Let's make "Tax the Rich" our election slogan.

The best way to fight rising prices — and boost consumption and the economy along with it — is to cut or abolish the consumption tax. Rather than leaning on more government bond issuance, we need "fair taxation" to generate revenue. Japan's tax system has real unfairness baked in: big corporations pay a lower effective tax rate than small and medium-sized businesses, and there's the "100-million-yen wall," where the tax burden rate actually starts dropping once income tops ¥100 million.

Japan should follow Mamdani's lead too.
3AnonymousSep 23, 2026 10:33
Will cutting the consumption tax actually make groceries any cheaper? The limits of "tax cut effects" in an age of inflation
https://news.yahoo.co.jp/articles/b87d312cf2557d4cf9181f0526d7fc2d2aa569c6
4AnonymousSep 23, 2026 10:34
Let's have the big corporations and the wealthy do their part for Japan for once.
35AnonymousSep 23, 2026 12:26
Re: #4-6
Uh, sure, okay??

<Keidanren Vision 2015> (Keidanren = Japan's biggest business lobby)
・Raise the consumption tax to 19% by FY2025
・Cut the corporate tax rate to 25% by FY2021
・Actively bring in foreign workers to grow the labor force by 6 million
www.keidanren.or.jp/policy/2015/vision.html
5AnonymousSep 23, 2026 10:35
I really wish they'd pair the consumption tax cut with some action on the weak yen.
6AnonymousSep 23, 2026 10:35
Japan was doing better back before the consumption tax even existed.
7AnonymousSep 23, 2026 10:41
Why is the 1% food tax cut driving small shops out of business? An interview with Sanseito's Yutaka Ando
https://japan-indepth.jp/?p=92615

[Key points]

・Ando points out that for restaurants, the 1% food tax cut is effectively a tax hike, since it shrinks the deduction they can claim on their purchases.

・By Ando's estimate, honest takeout food shops that actually lower their prices could run out of cash before the refund ever arrives.

・Ando warns this creates a setup where the smaller shops that can't afford to cut prices end up looking like they're "price gouging." (rest omitted)
8AnonymousSep 23, 2026 10:45
[Economic Focus: An Expert's Eye] Consumption tax cut won't bring "prosperity"…
Just delays the reckoning on rising prices
September 21, 2026, 5:00 AM
https://www.yomiuri.co.jp/economy/global/20260920-GYT8T00046/

The cabinet has approved a tax reform outline that includes the grocery consumption tax cut.
Concerns have been raised about the burden falling on specific businesses — a headwind for restaurants, and a heavy cost for retailers upgrading their registers —
and economist Ryutaro Kono also flags worries about the impact on the economy as a whole.
9AnonymousSep 23, 2026 10:45
Takaichi needs to be ready to ditch her own campaign pledge without hesitation if a better path shows up.
10AnonymousSep 23, 2026 10:48
Better than a tax hike, I guess.
11AnonymousSep 23, 2026 10:48
Isn't taxing big corporations and the wealthy the obvious way to fund scrapping the consumption tax?
13AnonymousSep 23, 2026 10:53
1% consumption tax cut on groceries, and shop owners are still crying: "The register upgrade will bankrupt us," "In two years it'll feel like a tax hike"
Sun, Sep 20, 9:40 AM
Bengo4.com News
https://news.yahoo.co.jp/articles/750321357ae7c2855a7d61573dec469c71818bc6

When Bengo4.com News asked readers for their thoughts on the grocery tax cut, it got hopeful responses — but also plenty of business owners' complaints.
14AnonymousSep 23, 2026 10:55
Re: #12

From the article in Re: #1

In a Teikoku Databank survey that collected responses from about 10,000 companies last month, only 18% said cutting the consumption tax on groceries to 1% would "lead to the revitalization" of Japan's economy.

Meanwhile, 54.5% said it "would not lead to revitalization."
15AnonymousSep 23, 2026 10:57
Then why are people making all this noise demanding a tax cut?
16AnonymousSep 23, 2026 11:05
The opposition figured the LDP would never actually cut taxes, so they kept demanding one anyway — and then it actually happened, so now they really can't oppose it. Well played.
17AnonymousSep 23, 2026 11:10
It's not like it was ever meant to boost the economy anyway.
18AnonymousSep 23, 2026 11:11
Of course a grocery tax cut isn't gonna boost the economy lol
19AnonymousSep 23, 2026 11:14
So then what's the point of doing it?
36AnonymousSep 23, 2026 12:26
Re: #19
It was originally meant as a countermeasure against rising prices, right?
It's still a relief if at least food gets the consumption tax knocked off.
And after two years it switches over to cash handouts anyway.
27AnonymousSep 23, 2026 11:52
It just tanks trust in the yen,
weakens the yen, and cancels out the price relief —
total garbage.
Lip service just to shut up the opposition
must be their life's dream, huh.
28AnonymousSep 23, 2026 12:01
For real though, does this even mean anything?
If the base price of goods goes up anyway even with no consumption tax, isn't the whole thing pointless?
If they're gonna do something, cutting social insurance premiums or resident tax would actually help more.
30AnonymousSep 23, 2026 12:07
Re: #28
If prices stay high and then they bump the rate back up to 8% after two years, it'll spike even more and make things even worse.
29AnonymousSep 23, 2026 12:07
If they'd just slapped a high consumption tax on luxury and premium goods for two years,
that would've covered the cost just fine.
Like a 30% consumption tax on cars over ¥10 million —
that would've kept things fair too.
31AnonymousSep 23, 2026 12:09
They probably want to trigger a "Sanae Shock" instead of a Truss Shock,
so their name goes down in history. (Sanae = PM Takaichi Sanae; Truss Shock = the market meltdown under UK PM Liz Truss)
37AnonymousSep 23, 2026 12:29
Re: #31
They've been yelling "Takaichi Shock" this whole time and nothing's actually happened lol
The Truss Shock was a triple whammy — weak currency, weak bonds, weak stocks —
but Japanese stocks keep climbing, and dollar-yen is capped out around 160.
Rates might rise, sure, but that's happening worldwide anyway.
34AnonymousSep 23, 2026 12:14
If you're supermarket-hopping for deals, don't drive there lol
Walk or bike it lol
Gas money will cost you more than the couple yen you're saving.
38AnonymousSep 23, 2026 12:35
Well, of course companies would say that.
39AnonymousSep 23, 2026 12:50
We went crying to Uncle Sam,
and thanks to the joint intervention the dollar-yen rate
is already creeping back up lol
41AnonymousSep 23, 2026 13:02
It's basically just a subsidy for retailers.

Background and Key Points of This Discussion

This 1% cut to the consumption tax on groceries is a two-year, time-limited measure written into the tax reform outline as a response to rising prices — it was never meant to serve as economic stimulus in its own right. Reporting has flagged that the cost of upgrading cash register systems weighs heavily on small and medium-sized retailers and restaurants, and that combined with the existing reduced-tax-rate system, the change could effectively amount to a tax hike for the restaurant industry. On the thread, some used the survey finding that it “won’t lead to revitalization” to question the tax cut itself, while others countered that it was never meant as stimulus but as support for households. There were also calls to recoup the lost revenue through taxes on big corporations and the wealthy, and views that the real problem is import prices being driven up by the weak yen. On the whole, the debate centers less on whether the tax cut is good or bad and more on a mismatch over what the tax cut was ever supposed to achieve.

*This article is excerpted and summarized from the 5channel (Business news+) thread “[Survey] Consumption Tax Cut “Won’t Lead to Revitalization,” Say Half of Respondents — Teikoku Databank Survey.”

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