Domestic PC Shipments Projected to Plunge 37.8% — 5ch: “Motherboard Price Hikes Quietly Hurt the Most”

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The story

Prices for PC parts — memory, graphics cards, CPUs, you name it — just keep climbing. The thread kicked off with a post griping that “everything except power supplies has gone through insane price hikes,” and it spiraled into a debate over whether sales are actually falling as a result. Citing data from research firm MM Research Institute, posters noted that domestic PC shipments for fiscal 2026 are projected to drop 37.8% year-on-year to 11.23 million units, with the decline blamed on a rebound from last year’s rush to replace PCs before Windows 10 support ended, plus soaring memory prices. Meanwhile, some argued “CPUs are at rock bottom” and “AMD’s graphics cards are staying reasonable,” showing just how differently each part category is being felt in people’s wallets.

What people said

8AnonymousSep 21, 2026 08:02
If you'd been paying attention, you'd have upgraded your PC by last November at the latest
27AnonymousSep 21, 2026 08:18
Re: #8
I was paying attention enough to grab a Switch 2 and a Meta Quest, but figured a new PC could wait — so I cheaped out with a 1TB SSD, and now I seriously regret it
9AnonymousSep 21, 2026 08:02
Saw a guy who bought a PC with a 9800X3D and a 5070 Ti just so he could play AzuPro (a demanding new PC title)
People with money really do have money
11AnonymousSep 21, 2026 08:04
Seriously, thank you, Wilds
12AnonymousSep 21, 2026 08:04
The crowd that upgraded for Wilds is just sitting back enjoying the show
All hail Wilds
13AnonymousSep 21, 2026 08:05
Anyone who was actually going to buy a new PC pretty much already did it by last year, no?
14AnonymousSep 21, 2026 08:07
Truth is, "PC gamers" basically means Chinese players these days
Play any cross-play online game and you'll feel how outnumbered you are
15AnonymousSep 21, 2026 08:07
What do you mean "CPUs are expensive"? 🤔
They're ¥10,000–20,000 cheaper than at launch
The 9800X3D alone went for ¥120,000 at one point and now it's ¥55,000
Don't talk out of your ass if you don't even know the market 🙄
16AnonymousSep 21, 2026 08:09
Since Windows 10 support ended last October, businesses already replaced most of their PCs, so honestly nobody's all that bothered (´・ω・`)
18AnonymousSep 21, 2026 08:11
Re: #16
They extended support to next October, so that bought me some time
57AnonymousSep 21, 2026 09:43
Re: #16
Feels like prices went up after XP support ended too, if I remember right
17AnonymousSep 21, 2026 08:09
Heard the Radeon 9060 XT is selling well
Probably shows up on the Steam hardware survey before long
19AnonymousSep 21, 2026 08:11
I mean, if you need one you just have to buy it
That's the whole point of PCs and smartphones as a category
20AnonymousSep 21, 2026 08:14
Gaming PCs were never something that sold big outside a niche of enthusiasts to begin with
Hearing "PC, PC" hyped nonstop on the console-war boards (ゲハ, a 5ch hardware/industry forum) makes it feel mainstream, but it really isn't
Think about it for a second — there just aren't that many people willing to drop hundreds of thousands of yen on what's basically a toy for playing games
21AnonymousSep 21, 2026 08:14
That's why it's dying out
If my current PC breaks, I'm going back to the library too

Welcome back, Showa-era life. Goodbye, Reiwa (Japan's old vs. current imperial eras)
23AnonymousSep 21, 2026 08:15
Damn, how salty are you that you can't afford a gaming PC, you poor thing 😧
24AnonymousSep 21, 2026 08:16
Normally you just keep a base PC and swap parts out over time anyway
26AnonymousSep 21, 2026 08:18
Isn't it only holding up for work-use PCs and dropping everywhere else?
30AnonymousSep 21, 2026 08:23
Sales are obviously dropping (´・ω・`)
> Research firm MM Research Institute (Minato, Tokyo) announced on the 28th that domestic PC shipments for fiscal 2026 are projected to fall 37.8% year-on-year to 11.23 million units. The decline reflects a pullback after last year's replacement-demand surge, along with soaring memory prices, among other factors.
37AnonymousSep 21, 2026 08:30
Re: #30
Like the article says, companies replaced a ton of PCs when Win10 support ended
2025 is said to have been up 32.6% year-on-year, so unless you compare against two years ago
the noise is way too big to make sense of
45AnonymousSep 21, 2026 08:42
Families with kids must have it rough (´・ω・`) <about to go bankrupt

"I'm in middle school now, buy me a phone — it has to be an iPhone!" → ¥200,000
"We've got programming class at school, buy me a PC too!" → ¥300,000
"I want a Switch 2!" → ¥60,000 + games × number of kids
47AnonymousSep 21, 2026 08:53
Re: #45
Game consoles you can easily cut back on
And honestly that's becoming the trend lately
54AnonymousSep 21, 2026 09:20

If your PC isn't running this, don't call it high-end
66AnonymousSep 21, 2026 10:42
Motherboard price hikes quietly hurt the most
I wanted to move up from the B650, but…
68AnonymousSep 21, 2026 10:56
Re: #66
Went with a B850 but picked AsRock, so now I keep checking my CPU temps now and then
Should've just gone with MSI or Gigabyte
72AnonymousSep 21, 2026 11:08
Re: #1
It's all thanks to AI, really
Anyone can draw art now, chat with a bot, get research summarized, even make games
The only ones struggling are the anti-AI holdouts stuck in the past
79AnonymousSep 21, 2026 12:29
Re: #72
Outside of just generating an image or video and being satisfied with the finished product, we're running into "no PC powerful enough to actually use AI," and it's a real problem
To do stuff like "whoa, Astra can build a whole game from one line of instructions," you need a beastly PC that can actually put that beastly AI to work
73AnonymousSep 21, 2026 11:09
Monitors are cheap though
74AnonymousSep 21, 2026 11:13
Re: #73
Monitors are about to go up in price too
Around 20%, so budget models won't be hit much, but almost everything else will
81AnonymousSep 21, 2026 12:52
Re: #73
Gotta thank China and Korea for that
82AnonymousSep 21, 2026 12:55
Re: #1
CPUs are at rock bottom
And Radeon graphics cards are keeping prices reasonable too
83AnonymousSep 21, 2026 12:57
Re: #82
https://www.nichepcgamer.com/archives/post-132323.html
AMD: "We're raising prices! (^_^)"
89AnonymousSep 21, 2026 13:50
PC nerds are idiots, so they go out of their way to buy expensive stuff, post it on social media, and bask in the glow of bragging about how much money they wasted.
And it's not just PCs — in cars, motorcycles, home theater/audio, cameras, watches, and other enthusiast markets, there's no shortage of "romance cannon" products designed purely to get idiots to blow their cash.
Idiots buy them, happily show them off, and revel in it. That's how the economy keeps turning. Compared to those hobbies, console gaming is actually a fairly cheap pastime.
So the best strategy is to flatter idiots into overspending. Side note: during the American Gold Rush, the ones who made the most money weren't the dreamers chasing a fortune — it was the people selling them pickaxes and jeans.
90AnonymousSep 21, 2026 13:50
There's actually a lot of overlap between road cyclists and the PC crowd, but with everything going up in price, I wonder how they're affording it all
92AnonymousSep 21, 2026 14:03
Re: #90
What do you mean "how" — it's probably just the money they're not spending on cigarettes and booze going into it instead
You don't hear much about used high-end parts reeking of cigarette smoke, after all

Background and Key Points of This Discussion

PC market price trends are hard to read because several factors are at play at once. Following the end of Windows 10 support in October 2025, businesses in particular front-loaded their replacement purchases — and fiscal 2026 shipments are projected to drop sharply year-on-year as that rush fades. Where the thread split was over whether price hikes are actually driving people to hold off buying: some parts, like CPUs, have gotten cheaper than at launch, while others, like memory and motherboards, keep climbing, so it’s not something you can sum up in one line. A point readers can easily misread is that while the year-on-year numbers look like a “sharp drop,” the prior year itself had spiked due to a demand surge — and as posters in the thread pointed out, without comparing against two years back, “the noise is too big” to see the real picture. Growing demand for high-performance PCs to run AI workloads was also cited as one factor pushing parts prices higher.

*This article is compiled from excerpts and a summary of the 5ch (Hardware/Industry (Geha)) thread “Aren’t PC sales dropping with everything except power supplies going through insane price hikes? Every price hike right now is just unreasonable.”

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