35% of Unmarried Youth Say They ‘Don’t Plan to Marry,’ Citing Income and Life Uncertainty — Survey of 44,000 Singles

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The story

A first-of-its-kind large-scale survey by Japan’s Children and Families Agency has found that 35% of unmarried respondents say they have no intention of ever marrying. The online survey targeted roughly 100,000 people nationwide aged 15 to 39, running from May 20 to August 5, with about 68,000 valid responses collected through July 23. Many respondents cited anxiety over income and changing circumstances as reasons for hesitating to marry. On 5ch forums, opinions split over taxing singles, whether to cut their pension benefits, differences in marriage rates between the “Ice Age” generation and the “Yutori” generation, and how the Children and Families Agency’s budget is being spent.

A first-ever large-scale survey conducted by the Children and Families Agency revealed on the 31st that 35% of unmarried young people say they have no intention of marrying.

Many cited anxiety over income and changing circumstances as barriers to marriage. Behind the declining birthrate lies not only shifting values among young people but also a broader trend toward staying single or marrying later in life. The agency plans to analyze the survey results in detail and use them to shape future policy.

To better understand the challenges and attitudes facing young people, the agency conducted an online survey of roughly 100,000 men and women nationwide aged 15 to 39, from May 20 to August 5. About 68,000 valid responses received by July 23 were compiled.

Source: news.yahoo.co.jp / Original article here

What people said

6AnonymousAug 31, 2026 12:56
Genuine question for anyone who actually knows this industry —
will the falling birthrate cut into work for small/mid-size regional sash (window frame) manufacturers? Will they go under?
21AnonymousAug 31, 2026 12:58
Re: #6
High-performance resin-composite sashes for buildings: roughly flat to slightly down from 59,000 tons/year.
Traditional aluminum sashes for standard housing (60,000 tons): production is ending — not just halved, but headed to zero.
Resin sashes: net increase up to 60,000 tons.
That's the conclusion based on the earnings trends and market outlook of Fuji Light Metal, the OEM supplier for major sash makers YKK AP, LIXIL, and Sankyo Tateyama.

For reference:
Under the April 2025 revision to the Building Energy Efficiency Act,
all newly built "non-residential buildings" — office buildings, stores, factories, schools, etc. — became legally required starting April 2025 to meet energy-efficiency standards,
so building-use sashes have already shifted to high-performance resin-composite.
Aluminum sashes, due to the regulations,
now have no building category left where they can be used.
7AnonymousAug 31, 2026 12:57
I once posted in another thread that I can't afford to get married,
and people told me to just get married and grind it out as a two-income household instead.
Thing is, I can't even find someone to be that other income.
24AnonymousAug 31, 2026 12:59
Re: #7
Marriage → wife → she wants kids → two kids arrive → now you've got 3 dependents.
On just your salary.
26AnonymousAug 31, 2026 12:59
Re: #7
This is a thread about the declining birthrate, and you're recommending DINKs (dual income, no kids)? That's the dumb part.
30AnonymousAug 31, 2026 12:59
It's overwhelmingly "want to but can't," isn't it.
267AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:25
Re: #30

51AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:03
Lower women's incomes.
Tax singles, raise their insurance premiums.

Has to be one of those — nothing works without a penalty.
60AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:04
Re: #51
If people aren't marrying because they're broke, taxing singles just makes marriage even less affordable lol
74AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:05
Re: #60
Just slap a heavy singles tax on anyone over 35, done.
80AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:06
Re: #60
Middle-aged singles should just pay a ¥2 million/year poll tax.
59AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:04
I'm in my 30s, and pretty much everyone my age or younger who got married seems to regret it. No freedom, and with prices this high, apparently the fights just pile up.
141AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:12
Re: #59
But 90% of married people say they're "happy" in surveys.
185AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:16
Re: #59
That's because if you flash your happiness in front of someone whose face screams "single and anti-marriage," you feel like you'll get cursed. So instead: "Ugh, I regret it soooo much" (gotta say that in front of this person or it's scary) (truthfully, being a couple makes it way easier to weather the price hikes, and having someone to lean on is a blessing) "No freedom, it's rough" (gotta put on the unhappy face or you'll get cursed).
82AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:06
If you're not planning to marry, fine — no pension for you either.
119AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:10
Re: #82
Childless people should get zero old-age pension, seems fair.
84AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:06
The bigger problem is there just aren't enough people in their 20s left to have kids in the first place.
We're about 40 years too late for this.
89AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:07
Re: #84
Wasn't it because the Employment Ice Age generation didn't marry?
Didn't anyone sound the alarm back then?
114AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:10
Re: #89
The Ice Age generation is good at gritting it out, so quite a lot of them actually did get married.
At reunions, being unmarried isn't the norm — it's treated as a red flag.
On the marriage-rate graph, the Ice Age generation is where the decline starts —
it's the following Yutori generation where it falls off a cliff.
127AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:11
Re: #89
Today's 30-year-olds have parents roughly aged 55 to 65,
meaning it's the Bubble generation that didn't have kids.
There were plenty of them, they just didn't reproduce.
92AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:08
Re: #80
That would send welfare rolls through the roof lol
Can't do that.
102AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:09
Re: #92
Katayama Satsuki's supposedly reforming welfare, so…
107AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:10
Raising one kid through university

Can cost up to ¥25 million
122AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:11
Re: #107
Come on, only a handful of people actually send their kids to private elementary school.
245AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:23
It's because they're pouring money into some useless Children and Families Agency that things ended up like this.
256AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:24
Re: #245
Birth numbers are actually up, so
it's probably not all wasted money —
but it does seem like they could boost them more efficiently.
265AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:25
Re: #256
I saw that the number of Japanese nationals specifically is still falling though.
288AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:27
Re: #256
That figure includes foreign residents, so it's hard to say either way.

[Population] First-half (Jan–Jun) births rise for first time in 11 years (+0.8%) — 342,069 births *Preliminary figure, includes foreign nationals ★2
https://asahi.5ch.io/test/read.cgi/newsplus/1787975031/
268AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:25
I don't even like myself, so I don't want kids.
I never managed to get married, but looking back now, I'm relieved.

I don't think you should take on responsibility you can't actually carry.
278AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:26
Re: #268

293AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:27
Once you get older, being alone is lonely, and it's rough if you get sick.
307AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:29
Re: #293
Well, your partner could get sick and basically lose the ability to communicate with you too.
Getting old comes with loneliness whether you're married or not —
that's just how it has to be.
326AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:31
Re: #293
Serious illness leading to divorce is a pretty common story too!
338AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:32
Re: #293
People like you always stoke anxiety to push marriage.
You're gonna get married out of fear? If you actually save properly, a nursing home is fine for old age.
308AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:29
Wasn't their budget request ¥7 trillion?
Is the Children and Families Agency even accomplishing anything with that?
313AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:30
Re: #308
Well, births have technically started increasing.
319AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:31
Re: #308
Of course it's not working.
That ¥7 trillion is itself part of why the birthrate is falling.
Just scrap the Children and Families Agency.
335AnonymousAug 31, 2026 13:32
Re: #308
Divide that by the current 13.29 million minors, and
it works out to about ¥526,711 per kid.

Background and Key Points of Debate

This is the first large-scale survey conducted by the Children and Families Agency since its founding, and it stands out for asking young people directly about their own attitudes. In the thread, opinions split over whether the agency’s budget (some put it at around ¥7 trillion) is actually working as an effective countermeasure to the falling birthrate, with voices praising the rise in births clashing against those pointing out the figure includes foreign nationals. There’s also the observation that “the Ice Age generation did marry, but the marriage rate then fell off a cliff with the following Yutori generation” — a generational gap that tends to get overlooked when discussing the declining birthrate, and a reminder that “today’s youth” can’t be treated as one uniform group. Extreme proposals like taxing singles came up too, but it’s worth noting these are the kind of extreme takes typical of a forum thread rather than part of actual policy debate.

※This article is compiled and summarized from the 5ch (Breaking News Plus) thread “‘No Plans to Marry’: 35% Cite Income and Life Uncertainty — Survey of 44,000 Unmarried Youth.”

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