The official account announced that Tsubaki Factory’s Nishimura Itsuki’s first birthday event, held on October 9 at Starlight Theater, sold out both shows through same-day ticket reservations alone. The thread also noted that the first birthday events for Hayashi and Nagano, held around the same time, had likewise sold out completely, with commenters praising all three rookies for getting off to a strong start together. At the same time, some pointed out that since the guests included fellow group member “King” and Juice=Juice’s "Nina", the turnout might owe more to the guests’ pulling power than to the birthday member’s own popularity — sparking some back-and-forth about differences in venue capacity.
What people said
1AnonymousOct 2, 2026 17:04
Regarding the "Tsubaki Factory Nishimura Itsuki Birthday Event 2026" being held on Friday, October 9 at Starlight Theater: same-day ticket reservations have already reached the planned capacity, so there will be no same-day ticket sales at the venue. Thank you for your understanding in advance.
#TsubakiFactory #NishimuraItsuki
2AnonymousOct 2, 2026 17:07
King! King! My number one! (a cutesy spelling of "ichioshi" — "my favorite")
7AnonymousOct 2, 2026 17:19
The King-and-Nina combo is just unfair.
9AnonymousOct 2, 2026 17:23
That's because Tsubaki has a member serving as MC — it's basically a two-for-one turnout boost. Other groups either have the "Jōjō Gundan" (a go-to emcee crew) or no MC at all.
10AnonymousOct 2, 2026 17:26
Tsubaki members are pretty strong when it comes to birthday events
There's a clear gap in venue capacity compared to Biolo (likely another Hello! Project act).
11AnonymousOct 2, 2026 17:32
Why didn't they just keep it secret?
Now that they've named names, of course the "heard-it-leaked" newbies are gonna show up.
16AnonymousOct 2, 2026 17:34
Amazing — now Marin can graduate without any regrets.
17AnonymousOct 2, 2026 17:34
The first round is secret, technically.
37AnonymousOct 2, 2026 18:09
Re: #17
It's not secret though.
18AnonymousOct 2, 2026 17:35
Looks like King alone has more otaku than all three Saniko members combined (Saniko = a trio nickname).
22AnonymousOct 2, 2026 17:41
If it's King, the place would've sold out even without Nina.
23AnonymousOct 2, 2026 17:41
That's because Hayashi is the one who came up with the nickname "King."
25AnonymousOct 2, 2026 17:42
Hayashi, Nishimura, and Nagano all sold out their first birthday events — impressive.
Guess Hello! Project otaku really are all about skill after all.
27AnonymousOct 2, 2026 17:45
Just make every Tsubaki event have Niai as the guest from now on.
28AnonymousOct 2, 2026 17:45
Resa and Doigo are stronger than Hayashi, aren't they? (fan nicknames)
30AnonymousOct 2, 2026 17:51
Re: #28
That's a stretch.
29AnonymousOct 2, 2026 17:49
Go off to BEYOOOOONDS with a smile.
31AnonymousOct 2, 2026 17:52
For Hayashi's next one, I think they could bump it up to Funabori (a bigger venue).
34AnonymousOct 2, 2026 17:57
Juice=Juice's group popularity is so overwhelming now that you can't even gauge individual members' popularity anymore.
Re: #39
She gets underrated just for being in Angerme.
That agency's trash as always.
57AnonymousOct 2, 2026 18:33
Re: #39
Niai did 3 shows, including one in Nagoya, you know.
She actually drew the biggest crowd of anyone.
Did you know that?
42AnonymousOct 2, 2026 18:21
All three selling out is impressive.
It's rare for a whole batch of rookies to get off to such a good start together like this.
43AnonymousOct 2, 2026 18:23
Nina's just a victim of the whole-hall block booking.
46AnonymousOct 2, 2026 18:26
Wondered what was up with King, and
turns out Hayashi's the guest. Total cheat code.
49AnonymousOct 2, 2026 18:27
King's "bangs guy" power really worked (a running joke about King's hairstyle).
50AnonymousOct 2, 2026 18:28
Tsubaki's riding on Juice=Juice's coattails.
Even the top-liked TikToks are mostly Juice-related.
51AnonymousOct 2, 2026 18:29
King hinted at the MC lineup,
posted that you'd be missing out if you don't come,
kept hyping it up after Nina was announced —
it's completely riding on Nina.
54AnonymousOct 2, 2026 18:30
Doing well despite being the same week as Marin's event.
55AnonymousOct 2, 2026 18:30
Nagano sold out both shows with no second round and no guest.
56AnonymousOct 2, 2026 18:31
Nagano's super popular, and yet she's getting fire-saled in Fukuoka lol
58AnonymousOct 2, 2026 18:33
Itsuki, why'd you announce Hayashi as a guest?
Now even the unwanted "heard-it-leaked" newbies are gonna show up.
59AnonymousOct 2, 2026 18:34
At the first-round stage it was only mentioned vaguely on the blog,
so it barely reached Juice=Juice fans.
61AnonymousOct 2, 2026 18:35
People who aren't even in the fan club should stop stirring up pointless rivalry drama lol
67AnonymousOct 2, 2026 18:52
Don't say I didn't warn you if you regret it… — Nishimura Itsuki
2026-08-30 21:20:18
https://ameblo.jp/tsubaki-factory-new/entry-12977266948.html
Everyone!
Registration for the birthday event
closes tomorrow at noon!!!!!!!
You HAVE to come!!!!
It's my very first birthday event, you know?!!
Is it really okay if you don't come?!!!!
Please!! Come!!!!
I'll be waiting!!!!
Don't say I didn't warn you if you end up regretting it, okay?
Still figuring out what we're gonna do!
The setlist's slowly coming together
It's gonna be so much fun…🍹
Is it really okay not to come…💚
I'll be waiting for you…👓
Background and Key Points of This Topic
Hello! Project’s “birthday events” are solo shows held for the member whose birthday it is, rather than the whole group — since they depend less on other members, the birthday member’s own drawing power tends to show up directly in the numbers. That’s why the thread kept citing venue capacities (772, 362, 508 seats, and so on): a “sellout” can mean very different things depending on the size of the hall. There were also cases where the guests were fellow group members or Juice=Juice members, which split opinion in the thread over whether the turnout reflected the guest’s pull or the birthday member’s own popularity.
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