Darvish on Oda Shoki’s “Straight-to-MLB” Bid: “Going Through a Japanese Team Raises Your Odds” — 5ch: “The Minors Are a Burger-and-Fries Existence”

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The story

Yokohama High School pitcher Oda Shoki (18) was drafted by the Yomiuri Giants but refused to accept the pick, aiming instead for a direct contract with an MLB team. In response, Padres pitcher Yu Darvish (40) said in a November 3 podcast, “I wouldn’t recommend going straight to the majors — going through a Japanese team definitely raises your odds of actually playing in MLB,” citing the brutal conditions of minor league life. On 5ch, opinions clashed: some argued that almost no player has stuck in the majors after turning pro straight out of high school, while others countered that Darvish’s “NPB first is best” theory falls apart once you consider cases like Shohei Ohtani and American players.

Darvish Responds to Oda Shoki’s Giants “Rejection”: “[Going straight to MLB] isn’t something I’d recommend. Going through a Japanese team definitely raises your odds of playing in the majors” — an “objective fact,” he says… the reason: the minors’ brutal conditions

Oda Shoki (18), the Yokohama High player who declared his intent to challenge MLB despite being forcibly drafted by the Giants, begins meetings with MLB clubs today, the 4th.

While he has “rejected” the Giants’ draft greeting, Padres pitcher Yu Darvish (40) answered a listener question on the 3rd Japan time, on the “Darvish Says Whatever He Wants” segment of the audio streaming service “stand.fm,” citing the harsh conditions in the minors as his reason

Source: news.yahoo.co.jp / Read the original article here

What people said

5AnonymousNov 4, 2026 08:44
But then he can't become a frontiersman, can he
He wants to be a frontiersman though
29AnonymousNov 4, 2026 08:51
Re: #5
There was a frontiersman named Mac Suzuki 30 years ago (went straight from high school to MLB in the '90s), so
either way he can't be a trailblazer
194AnonymousNov 4, 2026 09:23
Re: #5
Oh, you mean a pioneer
6AnonymousNov 4, 2026 08:45
Fine, but let him get to the majors by like 20
26AnonymousNov 4, 2026 08:50
Re: #6
There aren't many guys who could've made the majors just 2 years after going pro out of high school
I think Matsuzaka could've pulled it off right away
Yamamoto too, of course, but Darvish and Tanaka ('Ma-kun') were still a bit too early at that stage
12AnonymousNov 4, 2026 08:48
Famous former pro players and basically every Japanese baseball fan too
are saying going through Japanese baseball first before trying MLB is the best route
38AnonymousNov 4, 2026 08:52
Re: #12
There was a documentary about when Kawasaki once got sent down to the minors, and it looked like he barely had time to practice because he was constantly on the move
69AnonymousNov 4, 2026 08:58
Re: #12
Guess the minor league environment really is that brutal
13AnonymousNov 4, 2026 08:48
Side letters are actually illegal though
Saying that out loud in public is pretty risky, no?
72AnonymousNov 4, 2026 08:59
Re: #13
Illegal under what law exactly?
Is there even a victim?
84AnonymousNov 4, 2026 09:03
Re: #13
Go ahead, explain exactly how that's illegal
17AnonymousNov 4, 2026 08:48
Coming from the guy who said Ohtani's MLB two-way thing was absolutely impossible, huh
21AnonymousNov 4, 2026 08:49
Re: #17
Seriously? Then his take is useless as a reference
45AnonymousNov 4, 2026 08:53
Re: #17
Didn't Ohtani get ripped apart in America and the two-way thing basically fail?
138AnonymousNov 4, 2026 09:13
Re: #17
It really was impossible though
How many times has he actually cleared the required innings pitched while doing two-way over a full season?
19AnonymousNov 4, 2026 08:49
Is there even a team that'd put up with such a blatant 'just a layover on the way to MLB' arrangement?
66AnonymousNov 4, 2026 08:57
Re: #19
Taira was basically treating it as an obvious stepping stone the whole time
27AnonymousNov 4, 2026 08:50
If he picks the Giants, he's stuck in Japan until he's about 26, right?
That sounds miserable, who'd want that
54AnonymousNov 4, 2026 08:55
Re: #27
If he goes to the US now, the odds of making the majors by 26 are low
Worse, there's a real risk he gets cut partway through and comes home alone in disgrace
28AnonymousNov 4, 2026 08:50
Isn't MLB better when it comes to scientific training and all that?
51AnonymousNov 4, 2026 08:55
Re: #28
Where would they even do that kind of training
Who's gonna coach it
Rookie-league players get none of that
44AnonymousNov 4, 2026 08:53
Even the food's an environment where getting a burger, a coke, and fries counts as lucky
Those guys somehow build their bodies up on that
I guess making conditions brutal is how they make sure only insanely talented guys survive
48AnonymousNov 4, 2026 08:54
Re: #44
Oda's got a 500 million yen signing bonus though
57AnonymousNov 4, 2026 08:56
Darvish never actually experienced the minors himself, did he?
75AnonymousNov 4, 2026 09:00
Re: #57
He had Tommy John surgery with the Rangers and made rehab starts at AA/AAA, so he does know the environment
65AnonymousNov 4, 2026 08:57
Re: #51
He's got 500 million yen, and if he's based in LA there are facilities too, so he can hire his own coach and trainer
99AnonymousNov 4, 2026 09:06
Re: #65
The problem for minor leaguers is that too much time gets eaten up by stuff that isn't training
76AnonymousNov 4, 2026 09:00
If you're gonna say that, then what about American kids trying to make the majors?
By that logic Americans should also go build experience in Japanese pro ball first
The whole 'build yourself up in NPB first' crowd's logic falls apart
96AnonymousNov 4, 2026 09:06
Re: #76
That's exactly the point — Japanese players are privileged because there's a route to an MLB contract without ever experiencing the minors
Without Japanese citizenship you're not even eligible for Japan's draft
154AnonymousNov 4, 2026 09:15
Re: #76
Do you get that Japan has a foreign-player roster limit, unlike MLB?
Also, roster spots are far more limited than in MLB, so a foreign player who isn't an immediate contributor can't just casually sign on
Some teams do sign foreign players to development-squad slots, but most of those guys are from countries outside the US who wouldn't get picked in the MLB draft anyway — a young, draft-eligible American is never going to bother coming to Japan
124AnonymousNov 4, 2026 09:11
Japanese baseball managers overwork their pitchers, so you can't trust them
Ito Hiromu clearly broke down from being used too much too
130AnonymousNov 4, 2026 09:12
Re: #124
Is Sasaki even a success story?
143AnonymousNov 4, 2026 09:14
Re: #124
Hiromu's national-team workload was rough.
Togo getting overworked wasn't great either.
142AnonymousNov 4, 2026 09:14
How does Japanese baseball feel about being so blatantly treated as a stepping stone?
151AnonymousNov 4, 2026 09:15
Re: #142
Back when the system kept players from ever reaching MLB, the media ripped it apart plenty
159AnonymousNov 4, 2026 09:16
Re: #142
If they develop a player well it turns into big money, so most teams probably welcome it
Orix alone pulled in 9.3 billion yen just from Yoshida and Yamamoto — that's a massive payout
160AnonymousNov 4, 2026 09:16
Re: #142
Nah, it's already been that way since Ohtani
177AnonymousNov 4, 2026 09:19
Didn't Darvish also say early on that Ohtani's two-way thing was absolutely impossible?
183AnonymousNov 4, 2026 09:20
Re: #177
You can tell from these comments that his view has completely changed since then
184AnonymousNov 4, 2026 09:21
Re: #177
Yeah, he and Tanaka ('Ma-kun') were saying Ohtani should just focus on pitching lol
Who knew he'd become a big enough star to win a Hank Aaron Award lol, guess they had no eye for talent

Background and Key Points of This Debate

Behind this story lies the fact that almost no Japanese pitcher has gone straight to MLB out of high school. As the thread notes, roughly 30 years ago Mac Suzuki did make that leap straight from high school, but no one who followed the same path afterward has managed to stick in the majors. The thread also saw a claim that “side letters are illegal,” but no one who posted that ever explained which specific law would be violated, and the claim was left unsubstantiated. Worth keeping in mind too is the asymmetry underlying Darvish’s remarks: Japanese teams operate under a roster limit on foreign players, meaning young American players essentially never come to Japan for development purposes, while the system leaves an open path for Japanese players to go straight to MLB — an institutional wrinkle behind Darvish’s comments.

※This article is excerpted and summarized from the 5ch (Geisportsu Sokuho+) thread “[Baseball] Yu Darvish on Oda Shoki’s Giants “Rejection”: “I Wouldn’t Recommend Going Straight to MLB. Going Through a Japanese Team Definitely Raises Your Odds of Playing in the Majors…”“.

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