‘AI Will Cause Job Losses,’ Say Majorities in 37 Countries Including Japan: US Survey

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The story

A survey of 37 countries by the US-based Pew Research Center found that in most countries, including Japan, a majority of respondents expect AI adoption to destroy more jobs than it creates. As generative AI increasingly takes over tasks once done by humans, a 5ch thread saw optimists arguing that ‘new jobs will emerge, just like after the Industrial Revolution’ clash with pessimists countering that ‘no new jobs appear unless demand grows.’ Many posters cited specific jobs like engineers and office workers, describing a real sense that replacement is already happening on the ground.

It has come to light that in most of the 37 countries surveyed worldwide, including Japan, people expect ‘AI to cause job losses rather than job growth.’

Generative AI is capable of replacing a wide range of tasks that used to be handled by human workers, fueling growing concern that AI adoption will shrink employment.

Some argue that ‘like the Industrial Revolution, AI will wipe out some jobs while also creating new ones,’ but a survey of 37 countries by the US’s Pew Research Center found that in most countries, including Japan, people expect ‘AI to cause job losses.’

Source: pewresearch.org / Read the original article here

What people said

2AnonymousSep 18, 2026 20:44
Honestly, I'd like someone to explain the logic behind claiming AI will increase employment.
Sure, more people will get pushed into unpopular jobs nobody wants, but that's not exactly 'growth.'
3AnonymousSep 18, 2026 20:48
Just give us universal basic income already
4AnonymousSep 18, 2026 21:09
A company I do business with built an AI system and laid off about 40 part-timers.
Guess I'm next lol
Save me, AI-sama!
5AnonymousSep 18, 2026 21:17
Liberal-arts office clerks will probably be the first to go.
We've got a labor shortage anyway, so maybe that's actually about right?
6AnonymousSep 18, 2026 21:27
Take this music video that looks like a 5-member idol group, for example:

■ 404♡NotFounds – "Escape Key"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=stJDcZypObs

If this had been made with real idols, it would've taken 100+ people and a budget well over ¥10 million.
With generative AI, one person can make it for a few tens of thousands of yen (not counting the creator's own labor).

Sure, generative AI and cloud services are creating jobs of their own,
but they might end up cutting jobs for real idols, songwriters, choreographers, and film studios.
7AnonymousSep 18, 2026 21:41
Now that I can write code myself with AI, work is drying up for our temp staff and outside contractors.

Also waiting on Astro so I can handle drafting/technical drawings too.

What the employees who remain will need is creativity and the ability to negotiate with clients.
26AnonymousSep 19, 2026 09:42
Re: #7
Just wait until it can write code without needing you around either
8AnonymousSep 18, 2026 22:07
Meteorological agency staff, weather forecasters, lawyers, civil servants, the top brass of the military and police, school teachers…
9AnonymousSep 18, 2026 22:28
The token costs really add up, that's the problem
11AnonymousSep 18, 2026 22:38
Unlike the Industrial Revolution, where everything made could be sold, demand just isn't keeping up with supply here.
No demand means no new jobs get created.
12AnonymousSep 18, 2026 22:38
Well sure, they'll say 'AI solves the labor shortage,' but they'll never say 'AI drives up labor costs.'
13AnonymousSep 18, 2026 22:51
Knew something like this might happen, so I already went and became a blue-collar worker (riffing on the classic anime hero line 'I prepared for this')
14AnonymousSep 18, 2026 23:08
System integrators (SI) have always been sitting on a massive backlog of untouched projects.
It's great that AI is starting to plow through it.
Whether people can keep up,
and whether there's enough money to go around, those are the real questions now.
15AnonymousSep 18, 2026 23:23
Up to now, technological breakthroughs have always spawned new industries.
But this time it looks like the punchline is just going to be 'why not let AI do that too?'
16AnonymousSep 18, 2026 23:42
People have been saying this since computers first went mainstream. Kind of an old topic to bring up now.
17AnonymousSep 19, 2026 00:08
Why do you want to work so badly?
Why not let AI do the work and let humans take it easy?
27AnonymousSep 19, 2026 09:51
Re: #17
Funny how nobody's out there saying 'thanks to AI, in the future everyone will be freed from labor and life will get easier.'
Even though that's obviously exactly how it's going to turn out.
32AnonymousSep 19, 2026 11:37
Re: #17 Re: #27
It's fine if a country's food and resource self-sufficiency is high, but if it's low, people end up going hungry.

Even if you hand labor, trade included, over to humanoid robots and AI systems,
if those AI systems and humanoids are themselves imports or run on foreign subscription contracts,
your digital trade deficit just keeps piling up.

In the end the whole country goes bankrupt and has no choice but to be absorbed by whichever nation leads in AI or humanoids.
Probably the US or China.

Japan hasn't prepared for any of this at all.
18AnonymousSep 19, 2026 02:51
When computers first appeared, people still had to do the physical labor.
This time even mathematicians, some of the sharpest minds humanity has, are facing unemployment, so obviously ordinary people aren't needed.
Even among researchers, there are already people who are basically just AI's hands and feet.
Pretty soon the only job left for humans might be taking responsibility and bowing in apology.
19AnonymousSep 19, 2026 04:10
Works out fine given the falling birthrate.
Generation Alpha can just go blue-collar.
21AnonymousSep 19, 2026 04:51
Whether it actually decreases or not, it sure as hell isn't going to increase lol
22AnonymousSep 19, 2026 05:31
If AI needed just as many staff to maintain as the existing jobs it replaces, it wouldn't even catch on in the first place — companies would just keep doing it themselves.
Replacing existing jobs while keeping the total amount of work constant requires more demand and consumption than before, but with AI lately, supply is clearly overshooting with no healthy outlet to absorb it, so all that supply just keeps pouring into replacing existing fields instead.
23AnonymousSep 19, 2026 07:11
So which countries are actually expected to see job growth then? Are there even any?
24AnonymousSep 19, 2026 07:34
Re: #23
Probably those Gulf countries that keep building AI data centers one after another?
They're not just building data centers either — nuclear plants too…
25AnonymousSep 19, 2026 09:23
If you hand company management over to AI,
the first thing to get eliminated is the human management layer.
After all, AI has no personal ambition.
28AnonymousSep 19, 2026 09:59
Of course human jobs shrink as AI advances.
Bank employees already need fewer people thanks to automation, and once PCs spread, even career-track staff got cut by roughly half, right?
Hiring is still booming in that hire-a-ton-then-weed-them-out style, but thanks to AI, even licensed professionals probably can't find work.
29AnonymousSep 19, 2026 10:40
Washing machines are a good example, right?
Pick a course and AI runs the fully automatic wash.
Beep, boop, done — fully automatic delivery.
Beep, boop, done — fully automatic taxi.
What else is there?
37AnonymousSep 19, 2026 16:14
I genuinely worry about people in translation, shogi, and fields like that.
38AnonymousSep 19, 2026 16:34
Jobs that survive the AI era:
Professional athletes
Comedians/entertainers
Service industries built around human contact in general
39AnonymousSep 19, 2026 17:27
Re: #38
First off, all blue-collar jobs survive.
Any people-facing job done through a screen is toast though.
I cracked up at the story of a job applicant using an AI avatar for their online interview.
40AnonymousSep 19, 2026 19:48
I think only jobs cheaper than AI or robots will survive.

Background and key points of this debate

This survey, run by the US’s Pew Research Center in 2026, asked ordinary citizens across 37 countries how they think AI will affect employment in their own country, and the results show that in most countries, including Japan, expectations of ‘job losses’ outweighed expectations of ‘job growth.’ During the Industrial Revolution, mechanization destroyed jobs while also creating new ones, but the thread raised points that set this moment apart from past technological revolutions: ‘AI-driven replacement is outpacing supply, with demand failing to catch up enough to absorb it’ and ‘operating costs like token fees are a barrier to adoption.’ At the same time, some pushed back with the argument that ‘new jobs, like AI maintenance, should emerge,’ and in practice the optimist and pessimist camps talked past each other rather than converging. Worth noting: this survey only captures people’s ‘expectations’ — it’s easy to misread, but actual employment statistics have not confirmed any AI-driven job losses.

*This article is excerpted and summarized from the 5ch (Science News+) thread ‘It has come to light that in most of the 37 countries surveyed worldwide, including Japan, people expect ‘AI to cause job losses rather than job growth’.’

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