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The story
A 5channel thread speculating which affiliated group each Hello! Project trainee will be assigned to has heated up. Discussion took off after a post claimed the following lineup was “confirmed”: Aoki Yuuna and Tamura Nana to ANGERME, Miyazaki Riho and Kishida Momoka to Juice=Juice, Hattori Rua and Nemoto Karin to Tsubaki Factory, and Sakamoto Aoi to OCHA NORMA. Some predicted Kishida Momoka would join ANGERME, citing her BP (Best Performance) award history, open slots in each group, and height balance, while others pushed back, questioning the pick based on the vocal ability of ANGERME’s existing members — leaving opinions split.
What people said
Yoshida Hikari, 3rd year junior high, Tokyo
Hattori Rua, 2nd year junior high, Aichi
Yamamoto should be first, no question
New group leader
Her singing's not great either, though…
Don't you get that Aoi and Nanami's time together is ticking away by the second?
Want to welcome her in yellow — switch Nagano to pink instead
Tamura Nana
Miyazaki Riho
Kishida Momoka
Hattori Rua
Nemoto Karin
Sakamoto Aoi
In reality, all of these girls just get lumped into a new group together
Yoshida Hikari = Miyazaki Yuka
Hattori Rua = Sato Masaki
Sakamoto Aoi = Kubota Nanami
Aoki Yuuna = Goto Hana
Nemoto Karin = Oda Sakura
Miyazaki Riho = Danbara Ruru
Ono Airi = Matsumoto Wakana
Higuchi Manami = Eguchi Saya
Someya Sara = Nishida Shiori
Suzuki Kotomi = Danbara Ruru
Saito Yurika = Inoue Rei
Yamamoto Hana = Danbara Ruru
Kishida Momoka = Inoue Rei
Tamura Nana = Sasaki Rikako
Nagai Riina = Hirai Miha
Sakata Shiori = Okamura Homare
Sato Ayane = Goto Hana, Endo Sakari
Karibe Sakura = Okamura Homare, Kawashima Miu
Saeki Shiharu = Yonemura Hirara
Tsubaki was just a two-way call, so that one was easy
Hayashi → Juice=Juice
What ever happened to Sugihara Akisa, who named Matsumoto Wakana as the senpai she looked up to?
"Nishimura's a lock for Juice" — Wrong ⇒ went to Tsubaki
"Miyakoshi's a lock for Juice" — Wrong ⇒ left the group
"Otsubo's a lock for Juice" — Wrong ⇒ went to BEYOOOOONDS
"Ishikawa's a lock for Juice" — Wrong ⇒ went to Morning Musume
Every anti prediction misses without fail
So that means Yoshida too, huh
• ANGERME is the only group with no BP award winner in 10 years
• ANGERME has an open slot
• ANGERME has no new members planned this year (keeping the slot open for Kishida?)
• ANGERME has no member from Hiroshima (Morning Musume, Juice=Juice, and OCHA NORMA all do)
• ANGERME is a shorter-average-height group, so Kishida would fit right in
• ANGERME doesn't have a single member you'd call a real vocalist (they need Kishida, who can sing)
• ANGERME is struggling and needs a boost
If she wins BP, it's ANGERME for sure
Do you seriously think Kishida could become a vocal member ahead of Ise, Matsumoto, Hirayama, Goto, and Nagano?
Nobody who's ever won the Miyamoto Karin Award has failed to join
Murakoshi Ayana
Yep, debunked
2022 Miyamoto Karin & Ogata Risa Award — Kawashima Miu
2026 Miyamoto Karin & Inaba Manaka Award — Miyazaki Riho ← New!!
2022 Miyamoto Karin & Ogata Risa Award — Kawashima Miu & Murakoshi Ayana
Nagano Momoha
Yep, debunked
What about last year's Nemoto winning the Ishida Ayumi Award?
Background and Key Points of the Discussion
In Hello! Project, which affiliated group (ANGERME, Juice=Juice, Tsubaki Factory, OCHA NORMA, etc.) a trainee is assigned to upon promotion to full member status isn’t confirmed until the agency makes an official announcement. The split in this thread centered on Kishida Momoka possibly joining ANGERME: some argued for it based on circumstantial factors like the group’s lack of a BP award winner, its open slot, its shorter average height, and its lack of a true vocalist, while others pushed back by pointing to the skill of ANGERME’s current vocal members. On Miyazaki Riho, some cited the track record that every past Miyamoto Karin Award winner has gone on to join Juice=Juice, while others noted exceptions like Murakoshi Ayana, who didn’t join Juice=Juice despite winning the award — showing the pattern doesn’t always hold. Worth keeping in mind: assignments tend to prioritize the agency’s own judgment over a member’s personal wishes, and fan predictions often don’t match the eventual official announcement.
※This article is excerpted and summarized from the 5channel (Hello! Project) thread “Aoki Yuuna & Tamura Nana → ANGERME, Miyazaki Riho & Kishida Momoka → Juice, Hattori Rua & Nemoto Karin → Tsubaki, Sakamoto Aoi → OCHA — it’s confirmed, right?“.
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