Child: “The Moment You Have Me, You’re Carrying a ¥20 Million Unrealized Loss” — Do You Really Need Kids, Minus the Sentiment?

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The story

On 5ch’s “Nanademo Jikkyo G” (roughly, “Whatever’s Live” board), a post comparing having a child to an investment — claiming “the moment you have a kid, you’re sitting on a ¥20 million unrealized loss” — sparked a heated debate. Opinions split between posters who calculated that investing that same amount would grow into tens of millions of yen by retirement, and those who countered that once you factor in child allowances and education subsidies, the real burden is much smaller. Then, in the second half of the thread, personal stories of parents who showered their kids with love sat alongside accounts of neglect and verbal abuse, and the conversation shifted from cost-benefit math into a clash of deeply personal views on whether to have children at all.

What people said

1AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:01
If you buy stocks, they grow — but having a kid is nothing but a loss.
5AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:02
Send them to public school and have them start working right out of high school and it won't cost that much.
Why do you need to be so extravagant?
13AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:05
Re: #5
Because I want to send them to private school so they don't turn out like a 5ch regular.
7AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:03
Did your parents think your existence was a net negative?
That's your answer right there.
14AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:05
Re: #7
I don't have a father, and my mother regretted to death that she didn't just live her own life instead.
36AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:16
Re: #14
Well, if you grow up in a household like that, I guess you'd end up thinking this way.
55AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:24
Re: #14
Similar situation to mine, but it went the opposite way.
Single-mother household — when she was dying, my mom told me she was glad she had me, that we were poor but happy.
These days I'm a stay-at-home husband living off my wife (a "himo," slang for a man supported by his partner), though.
15AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:05
But you'll earn ¥300 million by age 65, so it's overwhelmingly a net gain.
20AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:07
Re: #15
That's not even your money, and working 38 years at a ¥4 million annual salary only adds up to ¥152 million anyway.
19AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:07
Invest ¥20 million and in 20 years it's ¥80 million.
28AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:10
Re: #19
How much do you actually get back from a kid, though?
21AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:08
But there's no point in you just sitting on ¥20 million either.
25AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:09
Re: #21
With prices rising and wages stuck, you won't save up ¥20 million in a lifetime anyway.
26AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:09
Re: #21
Invest instead of having a kid and it's ¥80 million in 20 years.
33AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:15
My mom's nearing 60 and had a brain hemorrhage that left her half-paralyzed, and she tells me almost every day that she's glad I'm around.
44AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:19
Re: #33
Having to be someone's caregiver, that's rough.

Re: #39
Just get a pet instead.
35AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:15
Whether you paid ¥100 million or ¥1 billion, I don't think you could buy that kind of cuteness.
¥20 million is chump change next to that.
38AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:16
Re: #35
A dog would do just fine.
39AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:17
What's an old guy even living for if he skips having kids just to hoard money?
43AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:19
Having one child actually comes with a lot of support you can tap into — childbirth grants, the child allowance, medical expense subsidies, education assistance, and more.
If you think "kids just cost money," you should factor the whole system in.
Having a kid can actually pay off in surprising ways. That's Japan today.
49AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:21
Re: #43
But then you're stuck working until retirement no matter what.
46AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:19
I think a spouse and kids are worth ¥40-50 million.
The value of having people to spend your life with is beyond measure.
Don't end up an old single guy like me.
I've got ¥45 million saved and I'm not happy at all.
50AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:21
Re: #46
I'll introduce you to a woman who's into you, so hand over ¥20 million.
60AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:26
Re: #55
I've never once been told that.
Growing up, I heard "I shouldn't have had you" dozens of times — she'd fly into rages, point kitchen knives at me, throw the remote, smash my toys, totally emotionally unstable.
After she threw out the line "If it weren't for you, I could've lived so much more freely" on her way out, I cut off contact completely and don't even know where she lives now.
66AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:28
Re: #60
Damn, that's rough. Seriously sorry you went through that.
69AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:29
Between the child allowance and my company's dependent allowance, I get about ¥25,000 a month per kid.
Just plowing that straight into personal government bonds is already more than enough to cover four years of private university tuition.
72AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:31
Re: #69
Personal government bonds?
Any investment that yields below the inflation rate is garbage.
78AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:33
Re: #72
If you build a normal portfolio, it ends up as bonds plus stocks anyway.
82AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:35
It's way more than ¥20 million.
My parents gave us a ¥1 million wedding gift, ¥10 million when we bought a house, and they're constantly giving gifts and pitching in with the grandkids.
Seeing that makes me realize raising kids is really a lifelong thing.
87AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:37
Re: #82
My whole family and relatives are all divorced, so there's no inheritance like that coming my way — are you bragging? 😠
86AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:37
Kids are adorable, though.
Just a kiss and a smile from them is worth ¥20 million.
94AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:39
Re: #86
Ugh…
that's just the kid reading your mood and playing along, you know.
100AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:45
Even leaving feelings aside, they're insurance for your own future.
111AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:48
Re: #100
Treating your kid as future nursing-care staff is peak "toxic parent" material, lol.
104AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:46
You won't have anyone to celebrate with when you turn 60, you know?
And it just keeps going from there — no motivation to live to see 77 or 80 either.
106AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:47
Re: #104
I was raised by toxic parents, so forget turning 60 — I don't even celebrate regular birthdays.
Just seeing them face-to-face brings out more disgust than anything else.
107AnonymousSep 12, 2026 19:47
Re: #104
At work I get treated like a freak for being an older single guy and pushed around, no family left either — just a lonely old man.
Honestly, I'd say a life like that isn't worth living.

Background and Key Points of This Debate

Framing child-rearing costs around the “¥20 million” mark isn’t new in itself — it’s a figure often cited as a rough estimate of what it costs to raise and educate a child through university. What split opinion in this thread was the underlying premise: whether to treat that amount as an “opportunity cost” lost to investing, or to discount the real burden by factoring in support programs like the child allowance and education subsidies. Since investment-return estimates swing wildly depending on the assumed yield and time frame, the figures cited in different posts varied too, and no single number stands as the one correct answer. In the second half of the discussion, the conversation drifted away from economic rationality and into posters’ own memories of how they were raised. That shows factors which can’t be captured by cost-benefit math do shape real-life decisions, and the thread as a whole never settled into a single verdict, economic or emotional.

※This article is an excerpt and summary of the 5ch (Nanademo Jikkyo G) thread “Child: “The Moment You Have Me, You’re Carrying a ¥20 Million Unrealized Loss” — Do You Really Need Kids, Minus the Sentiment?“.

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