Wheat Sell-Off Price Jumps 12% — 5ch: “It’s Only Cheap Because of Tax Subsidies”

From our other sites

The story

On the 9th, the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries announced that the government’s selling price for imported wheat, effective from October, will rise 12% compared to the April–September 2026 period, to ¥70,020 per ton (weighted average of five brands). The main drivers are said to be rising international prices and a weaker yen, and this could add pressure to raise prices on wheat-based foods like bread and noodles. On the thread, some pointed to the stalled Ukraine peace talks pushing up international prices, as well as the mechanism by which the government props up import wheat prices using tax money, while others linked it to the shift away from rice or noted that bread prices stayed flat during past price-cut phases — leaving reactions to the hike divided.

On the 9th, the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries announced that the government’s selling price for imported wheat from October will be ¥70,020 per ton (weighted average of five brands), a 12% increase from the April–September 2026 period.

Nikkei

Source: nikkei.com / Original article here

What people said

5AnonymousSep 11, 2026 02:59
RIP pasta folks
8AnonymousSep 11, 2026 03:04
Re: #5
Isn't pasta made overseas safe? This is about domestic wheat.
211AnonymousSep 11, 2026 06:50
Re: #8
Wheat prices are up like 40% on the global market, so it's worse overseas than in Japan, isn't it?
6AnonymousSep 11, 2026 03:01
These guys won't buy rice… fine, let's jack up wheat instead!
107AnonymousSep 11, 2026 05:30
Re: #6
Seriously, I bet that's exactly it.
112AnonymousSep 11, 2026 05:38
Re: #6
Oh, they wanna go there? Fine then — I'll refuse to buy rice out of pure spite. First, let's tear down the rice industry. All-out war it is!
10AnonymousSep 11, 2026 03:11
The Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries — absolute traitors. This is obviously a retaliatory price hike because rice isn't selling. These guys really are the enemy of the people.
47AnonymousSep 11, 2026 04:12
Re: #10
"Retaliatory price hike"… imported wheat is only cheap because of government subsidies. If trading companies were just buying it outright, it'd never be anywhere near rice prices. Japan gets subsidies from the government for both oil and wheat — that's the only reason we can buy at today's prices. Cargo ships are also taking longer routes now. With fuel and labor costs both soaring, selling at the same old price just means the strain gets dumped somewhere else. Is that really okay?
20AnonymousSep 11, 2026 03:30
Guess that's the end of the road for rice-substitute demand. Might as well go back to rice.
86AnonymousSep 11, 2026 05:13
Re: #20
Still way cheaper than rice, and cooking rice is a hassle and takes forever.
25AnonymousSep 11, 2026 03:34
Production is down across Europe and the US due to drought. Australia's apparently struggling too, so udon will go up as well. Well, we've got a rice surplus so no big deal.
27AnonymousSep 11, 2026 03:37
Re: #25
Wrong. Prices rose because it's looking more likely the Ukraine-Russia peace talks will hit a dead end. On top of that, some idiot (Japan) showed up to buy while deliberately tanking their own currency, so of course they got charged a premium. China, after all, is happily buying up huge quantities. When someone with no money shows up, of course they get taken for a ride.
33AnonymousSep 11, 2026 03:47
The price spiked to ¥76,000 back in 2022, then gradually dropped about 20% over recent years, and now it's just ticked up a bit from that low. Retailers already jacked up product prices plenty when it hit its peak, and never lowered them even when the government selling price came back down — but the second it ticks up slightly, it's an instant price hike?
46AnonymousSep 11, 2026 04:10
Re: #33
Back in 2022 the yen was around 110-140 to the dollar, you know.
41AnonymousSep 11, 2026 04:04
It really has to be rice after all. Rice, millet, foxtail millet, and buckwheat — that's what suits the Japanese body.
43AnonymousSep 11, 2026 04:05
Rice farmers are shutting down at a record pace, and now wheat's spiking too. What are Japanese people supposed to do? Just die happily while basking in the weak yen?
77AnonymousSep 11, 2026 05:03
Re: #43
Yesterday's news said rice farmer closures this year are at a record pace, but it was a clickbait headline — turned out to be just 32 cases nationwide.
78AnonymousSep 11, 2026 05:04
Re: #43
That garbage article about "32 closures from January to August" was something else. I wonder how many rice farms are even left in Japan.
59AnonymousSep 11, 2026 04:41
This is gonna push bread prices up. Last time wheat prices rose, sweet buns and the like went up 10-20 yen across the board.
74AnonymousSep 11, 2026 04:59
Re: #59
Even after the Ukraine war, the government's import wheat selling price kept dropping, but Yamazaki Bread kept raising prices anyway. So what else is new.
62AnonymousSep 11, 2026 04:45
Keep eating your bread and pasta loaded with glyphosate! You don't need rice, right? (lol)
65AnonymousSep 11, 2026 04:48
Re: #62
Poor people have no choice but to eat it anyway.
73AnonymousSep 11, 2026 04:56
Is there anyone in this thread actually saying rice doesn't need to be grown domestically?
82AnonymousSep 11, 2026 05:07
Re: #73
Before that — do we even need to eat it at all? There are plenty of other things that can serve as a staple. We should've learned that from the rice price hikes.
80AnonymousSep 11, 2026 05:05
But you're still gonna eat bread and pasta, right? That's literally what you guys were saying lol
99AnonymousSep 11, 2026 05:25
Re: #80
We're not in the employment ice age anymore working for 800 yen an hour, so 5ch users these days aren't exactly hurting for cash.
91AnonymousSep 11, 2026 05:18
It's over, nya. Guess I'll live on potatoes, nya.
94AnonymousSep 11, 2026 05:22
Re: #91
Steamed potatoes topped with shiokara (salted fermented seafood) are delicious.
202AnonymousSep 11, 2026 06:46
Wheat products are cheap only because the government keeps dumping tax money into imported wheat to suppress the price. Also, American rice has already jumped 60% this year alone and is set to spike even further. Saying "just import our staple food then" is beyond stupid.
206AnonymousSep 11, 2026 06:49
Re: #202
Wheat is already dependent on imports to begin with, though.
207AnonymousSep 11, 2026 06:49
Re: #202
So scrapping the tariffs should be fine then, right?

Background and Key Points of This Story

Imported wheat isn’t bought by private trading companies but purchased in bulk by the government, under a “state trading” system that revises the government selling price twice a year (April and October) to reflect recent international prices and exchange rates. This is a holdover from the postwar food control system, meant to supply the domestic milling and baking industries with wheat at stable prices. This time’s 12% increase results from international prices staying elevated amid uncertainty over the situation in Ukraine, combined with a weaker yen — it isn’t simply a matter of tight supply and demand. It’s also worth noting that a higher selling price doesn’t necessarily translate into an equivalent rise in retail prices — in fact, there have been past cases where retail prices for bread and similar goods stayed flat even as the selling price dropped — and it’s easy to overlook that cost structures involve factors beyond wheat itself, like labor and logistics costs.

※This article is excerpted and summarized from the 5ch (News Express+) thread “Government wheat selling price raised 12%, reflecting high international prices and a weak yen — could increase pressure to raise prices on bread and noodles.”

Comments

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *