Switch 2 ‘Hasn’t hit 100 million units even with Mario out’ — critics question the sales pace

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The story

Over on 5ch’s hardware/industry board (Geha), a thread about Nintendo’s new home console, the Switch 2, kicked off with the claim that “despite lining up marquee titles like Mario, Pokémon, Animal Crossing, Zelda, and Kirby, it still hasn’t sold 100 million units.” That drew a wave of pushback — “no console has ever sold 100 million units 1 year and 5 months after launch,” “that pace would require selling 8,333 units an hour, non-stop, with no sleep” — and the thread spiraled into a debate over whether that sales pace is even realistic. From there it drifted into a battle of preorder numbers for PS5’s “GTA6” and good old-fashioned console-war taunting.

What people said

1AnonymousNov 12, 2026 16:52
Why isn't everyone buying one?
4AnonymousNov 12, 2026 17:01
・Ocarina of Time — 5.2 million copies in 4 days

・Wolverine — 2.4 million copies in 50 days ← what is this garbage (´・ω・`)
5AnonymousNov 12, 2026 17:03
Re: #4
Wolverine-gar! (mocking "-gar" tagged onto a word to call out a whataboutism-style deflection)
7AnonymousNov 12, 2026 17:10
Re: #6
Guess Nishi-kun doesn't know about the Switch 2 Edition ("Nishi-kun" = a derogatory nickname for Nintendo fanboys).
Figures — to Nishi-kun, Nintendo games aren't something you play, they're just a stick to beat PS with.
9AnonymousNov 12, 2026 17:12
Re: #7
Didn't expect them to be counting the Switch 2 edition as its own separate unit, lol
10AnonymousNov 12, 2026 17:14
Has any console ever sold 100 million units in just one year and five months?
16AnonymousNov 12, 2026 17:21
Re: #15
Well of course Switch 2 users get mad if you say something that looks down on the Switch 2 Edition.
That's only natural.
53AnonymousNov 12, 2026 18:40
Re: #16
You're not even a Switch 2 user.
Show us your Zelda 40th Anniversary Switch then — quit faking it ("air-playing" = pretending you own/played something you don't), lol
17AnonymousNov 12, 2026 17:23
So basically every big title besides Mario Kart is still yet to come.
27AnonymousNov 12, 2026 17:44
Re: #17
Yeah, next year the main-series Pokémon game is finally dropping.
Animal Crossing, Splatoon, a Breath of the Wild-style Zelda, Smash, 3D Mario — none of those are even in sight.
Also, on the hardware boards the new Xenoblade next year might end up getting more attention anyway.
20AnonymousNov 12, 2026 17:37
Re: #5
Just noise, lol
Can't counter it, that's hilarious
23AnonymousNov 12, 2026 17:43
Re: #20
No need to counter it.
The second you bring up unrelated Wolverine numbers in a thread about the Switch 2 not selling, Nishi-kun's already lost.
25AnonymousNov 12, 2026 17:43
Re: #23
See, you can't counter it, lol
28AnonymousNov 12, 2026 17:45
To produce and sell 100,000,000 units in about 500 days,
you'd need to produce and sell 200,000 units a day.
In other words, that's only achievable if you kept producing and selling 8,333 units every single hour, round the clock, with no sleep.
33AnonymousNov 12, 2026 17:50
Losing your mind over something that's physically impossible, huh, Kizuna? lol ("Kizuna" = another derogatory nickname for Nintendo/Switch fans)

Does Kizuna just not have any sense of time?
Re: #28
31AnonymousNov 12, 2026 17:46
Where's the example of a remaster selling 100 million units?
Without showing that, this doesn't actually add up to "yikes."
32AnonymousNov 12, 2026 17:49
Re: #31
There's no such example, no.
But it's a number that's achievable if the 100 million fans built up over Mario and Zelda's 40-year history just bought it — so why aren't they buying?
37AnonymousNov 12, 2026 17:53
If you're gonna call it "easy," then show me a bunch of examples of game consoles selling 100 million in 2 years, lol
41AnonymousNov 12, 2026 18:13
Re: #37
If there's no precedent, then Switch 2 can just be the first one.
42AnonymousNov 12, 2026 18:16
So what do software sales actually look like for a console that's shipped 100 million units?
44AnonymousNov 12, 2026 18:20
Re: #42
[Good news] GTA6 tops 10 million units in preorders alone, lololol
https://krsw.5ch.io/test/read.cgi/ghard/1794471069/
45AnonymousNov 12, 2026 18:21
Re: #44
Is that PS only?
What's the best-selling game on PS5, and how many copies?
48AnonymousNov 12, 2026 18:31
Re: #45
PS5 alone is 7 million.


GTA VI is reportedly the most pre-ordered game in history!

According to Sensor Tower, GTA VI has hit 9.69 million digital preorders.

– PS5: 7.23 million
– Xbox Series X|S: 2.46 million

That works out to an estimated $1 billion or so in pre-release revenue, breaking the previous preorder record of 8 million held by Cyberpunk 2077.

And remarkably, GTA VI pulled this off on just two console platforms — there's no PC release.
https://x.com/GamingCulture_/status/2120132357399441594
85AnonymousNov 12, 2026 19:26
Re: #45 and Re: #49
are the same question — isn't it a bit much to say "don't change the question"?
49AnonymousNov 12, 2026 18:35
Re: #48
Huh.
So how many copies has the best-selling PS5 game actually sold?
50AnonymousNov 12, 2026 18:37
Re: #49
Don't change the question.
So we're agreed that PS5 is a healthy hardware market where a new release can pull in 7 million preorders, right?
57AnonymousNov 12, 2026 18:45
Re: #50
Sure.
Then we're agreed that Switch, with 10 million units in first-week sales, is a healthier hardware market than PS, right?
54AnonymousNov 12, 2026 18:41
Re: #52
Nobody asked that.
The original question was "what do software sales look like for a console that's shipped 100 million units?"
If you're going to tack on extra questions, I'll take it you're admitting GTA6 has already sold 7 million on PS5.
59AnonymousNov 12, 2026 18:50
Re: #54
So we're good with "sold 7 million," right?
Just say it sold.
60AnonymousNov 12, 2026 18:51
Re: #56
That's a total blowout loss on software sales numbers, isn't it?
75AnonymousNov 12, 2026 19:06
Don't trash-talk "GTA-flop 6" (a mocking nickname for GTA6) — it's already being resold on Mercari before it's even out, lol

88AnonymousNov 12, 2026 19:40
Re: #75
Listed as "unread," lmao (that term's normally for books, not games)
90AnonymousNov 12, 2026 19:53
Re: #75
Listing it for sale before release is hilarious
78AnonymousNov 12, 2026 19:10
This is rough.
96AnonymousNov 12, 2026 21:39
Re: #95
Did you actually buy Wolverine?
Was it any good?
98AnonymousNov 12, 2026 22:23
Re: #96
If you mean "a riot of color" (flashy-looking but shallow), then no, it wasn't fun.
It's a dud of a game.

Background and key points of this debate

No home console has ever hit 100 million units in under two years — even the original Switch took several years after launch to cross that line. Where the thread’s two sides talked past each other was over whether missing 100 million means marketing has failed, or whether that number was simply never reachable in just one year and five months in the first place; a quick back-of-envelope calculation of the required production/shipping pace comes out to a non-starter of over 8,300 units sold every hour, round the clock, with no sleep. At the same time, there’s a persistent argument that once you’ve lined up marquee titles like Mario, Pokémon, Animal Crossing, Zelda, and Kirby, sales should follow as a matter of course — and with neither side budging, the conversation drifted into dueling preorder numbers for other consoles’ games and plain old fan-versus-fan taunting. Worth noting: the GTA6 preorder figures and other PS5-side numbers quoted in the thread come from posters’ own citations and are pre-release estimates.

*This article excerpts and summarizes the 5ch (Hardware/Industry [Geha]) thread “Switch 2 ‘Rolled out Mario, Pokémon, Animal Crossing, Zelda, and Kirby but still hasn’t sold 100 million units’ — yikes.”

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