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The story
Ahead of Morning Musume。’26’s autumn tour “Chou Heartful 11” stop at Sapporo Bunka Geijutsu Gekijou hitaru on October 25, posters on 5ch’s Hello! Project board reported that tickets were still available as far in as row 28 of the floor section — solidly mid-venue seating. The thread split between two theories: that overall attendance has simply dropped now that fans of Makino Maria, who graduated this year, are gone, and that the four newly added 18th-generation members haven’t built up enough of a fanbase yet. The debate centered on whether the group can turn things around starting with the next tour.
What people said
What are they even gonna do about this lol
[GOOD NEWS] Juice=Juice LIVE TOUR 2026 UP TO 11 · Zepp Sapporo (Hokkaido), all-standing capacity 2,009 — matinee show SOLD OUT キタ━━━━(ﾟ∀ﾟ)━━━━!!
https://kizuna.5ch.io/test/read.cgi/morningcoffee/1776839702/
[GOOD NEWS] Juice=Juice LIVE TOUR 2026 UP TO 11 · Zepp Sapporo (Hokkaido), all-standing capacity 2,009 — evening show SOLD OUT キタ━━━━(ﾟ∀ﾟ)━━━━!!
https://kizuna.5ch.io/test/read.cgi/morningcoffee/1777068989/
That's the thread for Angerme's empty-house shows, buddy lol
2,000 people in Hokkaido?
That's genuinely top-tier
That Makino Maria you all clown on actually had a ton of wota (die-hard fans)
Now that she's graduated, Musume.'s total fanbase has shrunk
Whether the 4 new members can grow their own fanbase is what's left to see
Even the birthday event is dead empty
Same time of year, same venue every year, and they still get mercy-ruled by Ebata
This is what a year of hard-shilling Fukumura and Ishida gets you
This is what 24 years of hard-shilling Tsunku gets you
Ikuta and Oda are both gone now too
'Sato Masaki Fan Club Event 2026 — YES or NO' at Hitotsubashi Hall: same-day tickets now on sale for both sessions
https://kizuna.5ch.io/test/read.cgi/morningcoffee/1790319682/
Too bad the 'cousins duo' don't get a hometown homecoming show then
Every seat would sell out instantly right now
Final answer: she's only got deep popularity with a small core of 'omaitsu' regulars (fans who attend every single show) — no broader reach
https://kizuna.5ch.io/test/read.cgi/morningcoffee/1790319682/
Just answer Yes or No already 😭😭😭
If even Sato's at this point, once Panda graduates from Musume. she won't have a career in showbiz either
Panda: 'Ah, guess it's a good thing I'm in Morning Musume. after all.'
The 18th-gen members don't even have 500 yet.
It's simply that gap.
If that were true, the birthday events would be packed
I'm just talking simple audience math.
The Maria fans who used to show up aren't coming this time, so the numbers are down. Simple subtraction.
Saw her on Rimi Sta and Suumo's insane
They picked a good one
[SHOCKING] Morning Musume。'26's spring tour Hokkaido stop at Sapporo Bunka Geijutsu Gekijou hitaru — a venue with 4 floors — is currently selling FLOOR SEATS lmaoooooo
https://kizuna.5ch.io/test/read.cgi/morningcoffee/1774662844/1
1 Nameless (Name Pending) 2026/03/28 (Sat) 10:54:04.56 0
Matinee
Evening
Seating chart
Wonder if they're just not using the side sections of the floor this time
Background and Talking Points
Morning Musume. goes through generational turnover via graduations every year, and it’s not unusual for the tour right after a popular member’s departure to see a temporary dip in attendance. The figures floated in the thread — “Makino Maria had thousands of fans, the 18th-gen members have under 500” — are purely anonymous-board speculation, not an official released number, so that should be kept in mind. Some posters compared this to Juice=Juice’s Zepp Sapporo shows (capacity roughly 2,000), which were reported sold out around the same time, but hitaru and Zepp Sapporo differ in size and seating layout, so they can’t be directly compared as a simple measure of drawing power. Ticket sales are also shaped by complex sales schemes like member pre-sales and seating blocks, so it’s hard to conclude popularity is up or down from the bare fact that “floor row 28 is still on sale.”
*This article is excerpted and summarized from the 5ch (Hello! Project board) thread “Morning Musume。’26 Autumn Concert Tour “Chou Heartful 11” 10/25 (Sun) Sapporo Bunka Geijutsu Gekijou hitaru — Floor Row 28 Still On Sale wwwwwwwww.”
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